Tuesday, September 4, 2007

Construction Spending Slowing Due to Housing Slump

Construction spending unexpectedly fell in July. But June's decline was revised higher to help offset the unexpected weakness. July construction spending fell -.4% MoM, the largest monthly drop since January, but July's figure was revised up to +.1% MoM from an originally announced decline of -.3% MoM.

Since July of last year, construction has fallen -2% YoY. All of the decline this past year is due to residential construction falling -15.6% YoY while non-residential (office, hospital, govt) has expanded +13.9% YoY.

Last month residential construction fell the most since January, falling -1.4% MoM. Non-residential, which has been offsetting the weakness of residential construction most of this year, was only able to grow +.6% MoM, offsetting less than half the decline in housing, as homebuilders slow new home starts in an effort to decrease the inventory of unsold homes. Private residential construction fell 1.4% MoM in July, the 17th straight monthly decline.

Public construction grew +.7% MoM in July due to increased spending on schools and hospitals, mainly at the local government level.

Construction is starting off the third quarter as a drag on GDP growth.

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