April factory orders rose +.3% MoM (consensus +.7%). March was revised higher to +4.1% from +3.5%. Reduced orders for transportation equipment and machinery were responsible for a substantial part of the decline. Civilian aircraft orders fell 10.7% MoM in April after rising 54% in March. Auto demand declined -2.7% MoM, versus an increase of +2.4% in March. Orders for new machinery fell -1.5% MoM after rising +5.4% the prior month.
Durable goods orders, which make up a little over half of the index, rose +.8% MoM versus a gain of +5.1% in March. The April gain was slightly higher than the originally reported gain of +.6% MoM. Non-durable good demand fell -.2% MoM after rising +2.9% last month. Items in this category include food and gasoline.
Orders for capital goods excluding aircraft and defense slowed to +2.1% MoM from +4.6% in March, but this is better than the original estimate of +1.2% from the Commerce Dept. Orders for this category are used as a proxy for future business investment. Shipments of these goods are used for calculating GDP, and the shipments rose +1% MoM in April following a gain of +1.6% in March.
It appears that businesses were a bit more wary of building up inventories in April. Inventories rose +.5% MoM, for the largest gain since September, and have risen in 13 of the past 14 months. The inventory to sales ratio fell to 1.24 months from 1.25 months.
Monday, June 4, 2007
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